SUMMARY OF U.S.-CHINA BILATERAL WTO AGREEMENT

February 2, 2000 AGRICULTURE The Agreement would eliminate barriers and increase access for U.S. exports across a broad range of commodities. Commitments include: Significant cuts in tariffs that will be completed by January 2004. Overall average for agricultural products will be 17.5 percent and for U.S. priority products 14 percent (down from 31 percent). Establishment of a tariff-rate quota system for imports of bulk commodities, e.g., wheat, corn, cotton, barley, and rice, that provides a share of the TRQ for private traders. Specific rules on how the TRQ will operate and increased transparency in the process will help ensure that imports occur. Significant and growing quota quantities subject to tariffs that average between 1-3 percent. Immediate elimination of the tariff-rate quota system for barley, peanut oil, sunflower-seed oil, cottonseed oil, and a phase-out for soybean oil. The right to import and distribute products without going through a state-trading enterprise or middleman. Elimination of export subsidies on agricultural products. China has also agreed to the elimination of SPS barriers that are not based on scientific evidence. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS China would lower tariffs and eliminate broad systemic barriers to U.S. exports, such as limits on who can import goods and distribute them in China, as well as barriers such as quotas and licenses on U.S. products. TARIFFS Tariffs cut from an average of 24.6 percent to an average of 9.4 percent overall and 7.1 percent on U.S. priority products. China will participate in the Information Technology Agreement (ITA) and eliminate all tariffs on products such as computers, telecommunications equipment, semiconductors, computer equipment, and other high-technology products. In the auto sector, China will cut tariffs from the current 80-100% level to 25% by mid-2006, with the largest cuts in the first years after accession. Auto parts tariffs will be cut to an average of 10% by mid-2006. In the wood and paper sectors, tariffs will drop from present levels of 12?18% on wood and 15-25% on paper down to levels generally between 5% and 7.5%. China will also be implementing the vast majority of the chemical harmonization initiative. Under that initiative, tariffs will be at 0, 5.5 and 6.5 percent for products in each category. ELIMINATION OF QUOTAS AND LICENSES WTO rules bar quotas and other quantitative restrictions. China has agreed to eliminate these restrictions with phase-ins limited to five years. Quotas: China will eliminate existing quotas upon accession for the top U.S. priorities (e.g. optic fiber cable). It will phase out remaining quotas, generally by 2002, but no later than 2005. Quotas will grow from current trade levels at a 15% annual rate in order to ensure that market access increases progressively. Auto quotas will be phased out by 2005. In the interim, the base-level quota will be $6 billion (the level prior to China's auto industrial policy), and this will grow by 15% annually until elimination.
RIGHT TO IMPORT AND DISTRIBUTE Trading rights and distribution are among the top concerns for U.S. manufacturers and agricultural exporters. At present, China severely restricts trading rights (the right to import and export) and the ability to own and operate distribution networks. Under the Agreement, trading rights and distribution services will be progressively phased in over three years. China will also open up sectors related to distribution services, such as repair and maintenance, warehousing, trucking and air courier services. SERVICES China has made commitments to phase out most restrictions in a broad range of services sectors, including distribution, banking, insurance, telecommunications, professional services such as accountancy and legal consulting, business and computer related services, motion pictures and video and sound recording services. China will also participate in the Basic Telecommunications and Financial Services Agreements. GRANDFATHERING China will grandfather the existing level of market access already in effect at the time of China's accession for U.S. services companies currently operating in China. This will protect existing American businesses operating under contractual or shareholder agreements or a license from new restrictions as China phases in their commitments. DISTRIBUTION AND RELATED SERVICES China generally prohibits foreign firms from distributing products other than those they make in China, or from controlling their own distribution networks. Under the Agreement, China has agreed to liberalize wholesaling and retailing services for most products, including imported goods, throughout China in three years. In addition, China has agreed to open up the logistical chain of related services such as maintenance and repair, storage and warehousing , packaging, advertising, trucking and air express services, marketing, and customer support in three to four years.
China now prohibits foreign investment in telecommunications services. For the first time, China has agreed to permit direct investment in telecommunications businesses. China will also participate in the Basic Telecommunications Agreement. Specific commitments include: Regulatory Principles ?- China has agreed to implement the pro?competitive regulatory principles embodied in the Basic Telecommunications Agreement (including interconnection rights and independent regulatory authority) and will allow foreign suppliers to use any technology they choose to provide telecommunications services. China will gradually phase out all geographic restrictions for paging and value-added services in two years, mobile voice and data services in five years, and domestic and international services in six years. China will permit 50 percent foreign equity share for value-added and paging services two years after accession, 49 percent foreign equity share for mobile voice and data services five years after accession, and for domestic and international services six years after accession.
INSURANCE Currently, only two U.S. insurers have access to China's market. Under the agreement: China agreed to award licenses solely on the basis of prudential criteria, with no economic-needs test or quantitative limits on the number of licenses issued. China will progressively eliminate all geographic limitations within 3 years. Internal branching will be permitted consistent with the elimination of these restrictions. China will expand the scope of activities for foreign insurers to include group, health and pension lines of insurance, phased in over 5 years. Foreign property and casualty firms will be able to insure large-scale commercial risks nationwide immediately upon accession. China agreed to allow 50 percent ownership for life insurance. Life insurers may also choose their own joint venture partners. For non-life, China will allow branching or 51 percent ownership on accession and wholly owned subsidiaries in 2 years. Reinsurance is completely open upon accession (100 percent, no restrictions). BANKING Currently foreign banks are not permitted to do local currency business with Chinese clients (a few can engage in local currency business with their foreign clients). China imposes severe geographic restrictions on the establishment of foreign banks. China has committed to full market access in five years for U.S. banks. Foreign banks will be able to conduct local currency business with Chinese enterprises starting 2 years after accession. Foreign banks will be able to conduct local currency business with Chinese individuals from 5 years after accession. Foreign banks will have the same rights (national treatment) as Chinese banks within designated geographic areas. Both geographic and customer restrictions will be removed in five years. Non-bank financial companies can offer auto financing upon accession. SECURITIES China will permit minority foreign-owned joint ventures to engage in fund management on the same terms as Chinese firms. By three years after accession, foreign ownership of these joint ventures will be allowed to rise to 49 percent. As the scope of business expands for Chinese firms, foreign joint venture securities companies will enjoy the same expansion in scope of business. In addition, 33 percent foreign?owned joint ventures will be allowed to underwrite domestic equity issues and underwrite and trade in international equity and all corporate and government debt issues. PROFESSIONAL SERVICES China has made strong commitments regarding professional services, including the areas of law, accounting, management consulting, tax consulting, architecture, engineering, urban planning, medical and dental services, and computer and related services. China's commitments will lead to greater market access opportunities and increased certainty for American companies doing business in China. > MOTION PICTURES, VIDEOS, SOUND RECORDINGS China will allow the 20 films to be imported on a revenue-sharing basis in each of the 3 years after accession. U.S. firms can form joint ventures to distribute videos, software entertainment, and sound recordings and to own and operate cinemas.
PROTOCOL PROVISIONS Commitments in China's WTO Protocol and Working Party Report establish rights and obligations enforceable through WTO dispute settlement procedures. We have agreed on key provisions relating to antidumping and subsidies, protection against import surges, technology transfer requirements, and offsets, as well as practices of state?owned and state?invested enterprises. These rules are of special importance to U.S. workers and business. China has agreed to implement the TRIMs Agreement upon accession, eliminate and cease enforcing trade and foreign exchange balancing requirements, as well as local content requirements, refuse to enforce contracts imposing these requirements, and only impose or enforce laws or other provisions relating to the transfer of technology or other know-how, if they are in accordance with the WTO agreements on protection of intellectual property rights and trade?related investment measures.
These provisions will also help protect American firms against forced technology transfers. China has agreed that, upon accession, it will not condition investment approvals, import licenses, or any other import approval process on performance requirements of any kind, including: local content requirements, offsets, transfer of technology, or requirements to conduct research and development in China. ANTIDUMPING AND SUBSIDIES METHODOLOGY The agreed protocol provisions ensure that American firms and workers will have strong protection against unfair trade practices including dumping and subsidies. The U.S. and China have agreed that we will be able to maintain our current antidumping methodology (treating China as a non-market economy) in future anti-dumping cases. This provision will remain in force for 15 years after China's accession to the WTO. Moreover, when we apply our countervailing duty law to China we will be able to take the special characteristics of China's economy into account when we identify and measure any subsidy benefit that may exist. PRODUCT-SPECIFIC SAFEGUARD The agreed provisions for the protocol package also ensure that American domestic firms and workers will have strong protection against rapid increases of imports. To do this, the Product-Specific Safeguard provision sets up a special mechanism to address increased imports that cause or threaten to cause market disruption to a U.S. industry. This mechanism, which is in addition to other WTO Safeguards provisions, differs from traditional safeguard measures. It permits United States to address imports solely from China, rather than from the whole world, that are a significant cause of material injury through measures such as import restrictions. Moreover, the United States will be able to apply restraints unilaterally based on legal standards that differ from those in the WTO Safeguards Agreement. This could permit action in more cases. The Product-Specific Safeguard will remain in force for 12 years after China accedes to the WTO.
The Protocol addresses important issues related to the Chinese government's involvement in the economy. China has agreed that it will ensure that state-owned and state-invested enterprises will make purchases and sales based solely on commercial considerations, such as price, quality, availability and marketability, and that it will provide U.S. firms with the opportunity to compete for sales and purchases on non-discriminatory terms and conditions. China has also agreed that it will not influence these commercial decisions (either directly or indirectly) except in a WTO consistent manner. With respect to applying WTO rules to state-owned and state-invested enterprises, we have clarified in several ways that these firms are subject to WTO disciplines: Purchases of goods or services by these state-owned and state-invested enterprises do not constitute "government procurement" and thus are subject to WTO rules. We have clarified the status of state-owned and state-invested enterprises under the WTO Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures. This will help ensure that we can effectively apply our trade law to these enterprises when it is appropriate to do so. TEXTILES China's protocol package will include a provision drawn from our 1997 bilateral textiles agreement, which permits U.S. companies and workers to respond to increased imports of textile and apparel products. This textile safeguard will remain in the effect until December 31, 2008, which is four years after the WTO agreement on Textile and Clothing expires.

AGING AND PRODUCTIVITY AMONG ECONOMISTS

Abstract--Economists' productivity over their careers and as measured by publication in leading journals declines very sharply with age. There is no difference by age in the probability that an article submitted to a leading journal will be accepted. Rates of declining productivity are no greater among the very top publishers than among others, and the probability of acceptance is increasingly related to the author's quality rather than the author's age.
It is well known that productivity declines with age in a wide range of activities. Lehman (1953) suggests an early peak in productivity in a variety of scientific and artistic endeavors, and Diamond (1986) documents the pattern for several scholarly pursuits. Levin and Stephan (1992) provide clear evidence that this decline exists even after careful attempts to account for individual and cohort differences. Fair (1994) finds declines in physical ability among elite runners, as does Lydall (1968,pp. 113 passim) in physical abilities of the population generally. In this study we examine productivity declines in our own field. The main new results arise from our use of two different types of information, the equivalent of household and establishment data, to study the stone field over essentially the same period of time. Section I discusses the general results on aging and productivity, whereas section II presents evidence of the importance of heterogeneity.
I. Declining Productivity with Age
Using the American Economic Association (AEA) Directory of Members, we identified tenured economics faculty at 17 top research institutions and obtained the years of their Ph.D. degrees.[1] With the citation index of the Journal of Economic Literature we replicated portions of the curricala vitae of each of the 208 economists currently in the economics departments of those institutions who received Ph.D. degrees between 1959 and 1983.[2]
To measure productivity we construct three indexes, combining papers published in refereed journals. Prior research suggests that, at least in terms of salary determination, the returns from nonreferred publications are quite low Sauer (1988), so that we ignore such publications in calculating these measures. I1 weights an article by the journal where it appears based on citations to that journal, using values generated by Laband and Piette (1994). This index distinguishes strongly among journals. For example, the Journal of Political Economy has a weight of 59.1, whereas Economic Inquiry has a weight of 7.9. In constructing I1 we use the weights associated with the decade in which the articles were published. I2 distinguishes somewhat less among journals by assigning all articles in the nine "core" journals identified by Laband and Piette a value of 1, whereas all other journals are valued at 0.5.[3] Finally, I3 gives all papers a weight of 1. Coauthored articles were given half credit, consistent with Sauer's (1988) findings on the economic returns to coauthorship.[4]
We measure the change in productivity over the life cycle by the percentage change in the number of publications from 9-10 years past the Ph.D. to the periods 14-15 years and then 19-20 years after. For most of the elite economists the base period is equivalent (accounting for publication lags) to the time of tenure, when one might expect that incentives to produce are at a peak. Using two-year publication records at each point reduces the effects of noise in the performance measures. One might argue that still other scientific life-cycle mileposts (e.g., attaining a full professorship) should be accounted for too (and to some extent the 14-15-year point does this). But our main purpose is simply to provide detailed evidence on the relationship to age, and our data are not sufficient to infer the impact of every possible milepost.
Table 1 contains data on productivity loss by Ph.D. vintage measured by each of the three indexes. If we consider I1 and I2, the two indexes that take journal quality into account, the decline appears to be quite substantial. Between years 9-10 and 14-15 elite economists as a group lose 29 to 32% of their output. From years 9-10 to 19-20 they lose 54 to 60%. In other words, productivity losses are on the order of 5 % per year from the time of peak productivity. However, the losses do not appear to accelerate over these 10 years of the economists' work lives. The loss from year 10 to year 20 is approximately twice that from year 10 to year 15.
Another way to study the age-productivity relationship is to examine journals rather than individuals. The first row in each pair of years in table 2 shows the ages of authors of full-length refereed articles in several leading journals (American Economic Review, Journal of Political Economy, and Quarterly Journal of Economics).[5] The median age of authors in the 1980s and 1990s was 36. Scholars over age 50 when their studies are published are a minute fraction of all authors in these journals. Creative economics at the highest levels is mainly for the young. That is as true in the 1990s as it was in the 1960s, although the age distribution of authors does seem to have shifted slightly rightward in the late 1970s.
The second row in each pair in table 2 shows the age distributions of random samples of the membership of the American Economic Association in years near those for which the authors' ages were tabulated.[6] The distributions are heavily concentrated between 36 and 50. Decadal variations reflect rapid expansion of American universities in the middle and late 1960s, stagnation in the 1970s and much of the 1980s, and a possible fragmentation of the profession in the 1980s as specialized associations expanded. A substantial percentage of AEA members is over age 50 implying that older economists are greatly underrepresented among authors in major journals relative to their presence among those who view themselves as part of the economics profession.[7]
Among the several groups of physical scientists analyzed by Levin and Stephan (1992) the decline of productivity (high-quality publishing) with age was very pronounced. McDowell's (1982) small samples of scholars in a variety of disciplines suggest less rapid declines in productivity with age (in publications unweighted by quality), with the sharpest declines and earliest peaks in the "hard" sciences, and later peaks among English professors and historians. The evidence from our two very different types of samples of economists and economics publishing that account for the quality of publications suggests that, for whatever reason, economics is at least as much a "young person's game" as are the physical sciences.
II. Heterogeneity in Declining Productivity
The evidence in section I documents the decline in productivity at the sample means. Information on the age-productivity relationship at the extremes of the sample is interesting in its own right and might help shed some light on the possible causes of the apparent decline in productivity with age. The simplest test compares productivity losses among the top early performers with that of the entire sample of economists at elite institutions. Among the top 10% of early producers the mean values of I1, I2, and I3 at year 20 were 64, 50, and 22%, respectively. These means are quite close to those listed for the entire sample in table 1. Thus on average early promise seems to be sustained in this sample. Of the 12 top researchers on whom we have 20 years of data, five were still among the top dozen producers at year 20.
These conclusions are confirmed when we examine the entire sample. For each index Ij, j = 1, 2, 3, we estimate b0 and b1 in
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Table 3 reports the parameter estimates. For all three indexes productivity in year 20 is positively and significantly related to productivity in year 10. There is also substantial productivity loss. The joint hypothesis that b0 = 1 and b1 = 0 (i.e., no productivity loss) is rejected (F-statistics of 134, 152, and 39, respectively). Productivity loss is least severe in I3, which weights all journals equally, regardless of quality.
If productivity losses were less among economists with high early productivity (high Ij,10), b1 would be negative. In fact, for two of the three indexes the estimated b1 is effectively zero. We cannot reject the hypothesis of a linear relationship between late and early productivity. Only for I3 does it appear that productivity loss is higher for top early producers, and even here the effect is quite small. An economist in the top 10% of this sample at year 10 loses only an additional 0.5 (unweighted) paper compared to an average researcher in this sample at year 10. The very top producers in this elite sample keep on producing high-quality research, but at a slower rate. Those who were not at the top early in their careers slow down as rapidly as the top people, but their slowdown leads them to publish increasingly in lower quality outlets.
Another way of examining heterogeneity is to look at how authors of different quality free in the publication process conditional on their efforts. We obtained data on a random sample of initial submissions to a major general journal during a four-month period in 1991. (Some of the data were initially supplied by the journal's office for use in Hamermesh (1994).) Refereeing at this journal is double-blind, so that the chance that referees (though possibly not the editors) were affected by authors' reputations is reduced. The ages of the authors of these 313 papers are measured as of 1993 to account for the probable two-year average lag between the submission of a paper and its publication.
The simple fact in these additional data is that acceptance rates at this journal are remarkably constant by author's age. The probabilities of an article being accepted are 0.122, 0.114, and 0.123 in the three age groups 50, respectively.[8] On average there is no decline with age in the acceptance rate of papers submitted to this journal.[9] Probits on the acceptance of a submission that also included variables indicating whether the author was a member of the AEA, was in a top 20 department (as listed in Blank, 1991), was resident in North America, or was female, and the author's prior citation record yield an identical conclusion. The declining presence of older authors in top economics journals does not occur because older authors who keep submitting papers suffer higher rejection rates.
The probits included interaction terms between indicator variables for age and the extent of citations. (Low-cited economists were defined as those with fewer than 10 citations per year, well-cited with at least 10.) As figure 1 clearly shows, acceptance rates for each age group differ sharply by citation status. Comparing authors age 36-50 to those over 50, it is quite clear that the degree of heterogeneity increases with age. This appears to be less true in comparing the oldest to the youngest group, but that inference is due mainly to a very small sample. (Only six authors under age 36, the future superstars of the profession, were well cited.) The general tenor of the combined results from this sample is that the profession signals to less able scholars that their work no longer meets the profession's highest standards, and most of them respond by reducing their submissions to the highest quality journals.
III. Conclusions
We have followed the careers of economists and measured the demographic characteristics of publishers in leading journals. The evidence seems quite clear that publishing diminishes with age, especially publishing in leading journals, at rates as rapid as in the physical sciences. Indeed, remarkably few older people publish successfully in the scholarly outlets on which the profession places the highest value. As economists age, those who were the most productive early in their careers are among the few "survivors" still contributing to scholarship through the leading scholarly outlets.
Whether this relationship is due to natural declines in capacity or decreased incentives to produce is extremely difficult to discern. Unlike athletes, where it is likely that pure physical deterioration causes the reduction in productivity with age, among scholars even the fairly subtle facts that we have uncovered can be marshaled as support for each of these competing hypotheses. Without direct observation on how scholars' use of time changes as they age, we are unlikely to be able to distinguish between explanations of the declining ageproductivity relationship in science.

REFERENCES
Berger, Mark, and Frank Scott, "Changes in U.S. and Southern Economics Deparment Rankings over Time," Growth and Change 21 (Summer 1990), 21-31.
Blank, Rebecca, "The Effects of Double-Blind versus Single-Blind Reviewing," American Economic Review 81 (Dec. 1991), 10411067.
Diamond, Arthur, "The Life-Cycle Research Productivity of Mathemati cians and Scientists," Journal of Gerontology 41 (1986), 520-525.

Why has the global capital market grown so rapidly

Why has the global capital market grown so rapidly in recent decades? Dictionary of Business defines the capital market as a market in which long-term capital is raised by industry and commerce, the government, and local authorities. The money comes from private investors, insurance companies, pension funds, and banks and is usually arranged by issuing houses and merchant banks. Stock exchanges are also part of the capital market in that they provide a market for the shares and loan stocks that represent the capital once it has been raised. It is the presence and sophistication of their capital markets that distinguishes the industria l countries from the developing countries, in that this facility for raising industrial and commercial capital is either absent or rudimentary in the latter. The global capital market has grown so rapidly in recent decades. So I would like to discuss about it in the essay. This essay is organized as follow, introduction, body, conclusion. In the body part, Section 1 shows why has the global capital market grown so rapidly in recent decades. Section 2 talks about the continuance of the growth throughout the 2000s. Body 1. Why has the global capital market grown so rapidly in recent decades In recent decades, the global capital market has grown so rapidly because of the rise of privatizations mainly. With private capital flows rising from less than 5 percent of world GDP in 1975 to about 20 percent today, privatizations have significantly increased market liquidity. And also privatization takes a potential role global capital market development. A. The Rise of Capital Market-Based Finance Capital market-based finance has in fact been increasing in importance, both absolutely and relative to financial intermediary-based finance, in both developed and developing countries over the past decade. And also capital markets are in fact winning the present and seem likely to dominate the future of corporate finance in developed and developing countries alike. a. The Stable Role of Commercial Banking in Modern Economies Ordinary "relationship banking" appears to be (at best) holding its own as a source of corporate financing around the world, and is more likely in decline. The bits of banking that are growing rapidly are those parts that provide high value-added products (especially risk management tools) and provide large-scale syndicated credits to corporate borrowers. During the late-1980s and early-1990s, when Japan and Germany appeared to be outperforming major capital market-oriented countries such as Britain and the US, the academic literature often favored bank-based systems. Examples of& nbsp;this literature include Prowse (1992), Kester (1992), and Porter (1992), while the supporting arguments are summarized in Maher and Andersson (1999) and Tsuru (2000). More recently, however, the weight of opinion has swung strongly in favor of the idea that capital markets have decisive comparative advantages over banks and other financial intermediaries as optimal monitors and financiers of a nation's corporate life. This reassessment has been driven in part by the observation, discussed at length above, that capital markets have been prospering relative to banks for many ;years now. The repetitive nature--and massive costs--of banking crises in developing and developed countries alike has also convinced many observers that banks are inherently fragile institutions, whose role in corporate finance should be minimized as much and as quickly as possible (Economist (1997, 1999)). b. The Rapid Growth in Stock Market Capitalization and Trading Volume Since 1983 From 1983 to 2000, this was a period of very rapid growth in the capitalization of markets in every country except Japan. Total world market capitalization increased over ten-fold (to $ 35.0 trillion) between 1983 and 1999, and the total capitalization of the US market increased almost nine-fold (from $ 1.9 trillion to $ 16.6 trillion) over the same period. c. The Dramatic Growth in Securities Issuance Volume Since 1990 Another way of measuring the rise of capital markets is to examine whether their share of annual corporate financing activity has grown relative to that of other sources of funding. Security offerings by US issuers accounted for two-thirds of the global total throughout 1990-1999, that implies that non-US securities issues in creased from $ 191 billion in 1990 to $ 750 billion in 1998, and then to $ 1.19 trillion in 1999. The surge in non-US issuance volume in 1999 was largely due to the popularity of euro-denominated bond issues, which actually exceeded&n bsp;dollar-denominated bond issues for much of 1999. d. The Phenomenal Growth in Venture Capital Financing in the United States One highly specialized, but extremely important type of financing has also grown very rapidly over the past decade, and especially so since 1997. This is venture capital investment by US venture capital partnerships. The fund-raising patterns of these private equity investors are discussed in Gompers and Lerner (1998), and the competitive advantages of US venture capitalists versus those in other developed countries are described in Black and Gilson (1998). e. The Surge in Mergers and Acquisitions Worldwide The almost incredible increase in the total volume of merger and acquisition activity that has occurred since 1990. While takeovers have always played an important role in the United States, the rise in M&A (Merger and Acquisition) activity in Europe during the 1990s was even more dramatic. From less than $ 50 billion annually in the late-1980s, the total value of M&A involving a European target reached $ 592 billion in 1998, before more than doubling to $ 1.22 trillion in 1999--rivaling the US total. The global value of M&A activity in 1999 reached&n bsp;$ 3.4 trillion, an astounding 10% of world GDP. Next I will document that share issue privatizations have truly transformed share ownership patterns of investors in many different countries. B. Privatization's Impact on Stock and Bond Market Development We should be careful in inferring causation regarding privatization's impact on market growth, since a shift in ideology or some other exogenous political or economic change might have caused both the privatization and the overall boom.
a. Total Proceeds Raised by Privatization Programs It is clear that national governments have been among the biggest winners from privatization programs, since these have dramatically increased government revenues, which is clearly one reason the policy has spread so rapidly. As mentioned above, Privatisation International [Gibbon (1998, 2000)] reports that the cumulative value of proceeds raised by privatizing governments exceeded $ 1 trillion sometime during the second half of 1999. As an added benefit, this revenue has come to governments without having to raise taxes or cut other public services. b. Privatization's Impact on International Investment Banking All international investment banks compete fiercely for share issue privatization mandates, for two principal reasons. First, because the offerings are so large and so visible--and are almost always designed to help promote the market's capacity to absorb subsequent stock offerings by private companies--these are very prestigious mandates. To date, the large US and British brokerage houses have had the most success in winning advisory and underwriting mandates, though all countries that launch large-scale SIP programs tend to favor local investment banks as "national champions" to& nbsp;handle the domestic share tranche. The second reason banks compete so fiercely for SIP mandates is because they can be extremely profitable. In spite of the fact--documented by Jones, et al (1999) and Ljungqvist, et al (2000)--that SIPs have significantly lower underwriting spreads than private sector offerings, their sheer size and lack of downside price risk make them very lucrative for underwriters. 2. Will this growth continue throughout the 2000s? As we indicated above, the global capital market has grown so rapidly in recent decades cause of the privatizations rise. Privatizations increased the market liquidity. Now we have already stepped into the 21st century. I believe that the growth will continue for the following reasons. First, most of the south-east Asia countries have recovered from the 1997 financial crisis. For these countries, they now have the capital to do businesses. And they get back on the fast growing track. Second, by the end of 2001, world's biggest developing country, China, has ;entered the WTO (World Trade Organization). This is real great news. As we all know, today's China takes a serious position in world's economy. Its innovation and opening policy make china keep achieving high GDP growth rate. This drives the global capital market keep growing. Summary and Conclusions This essay examines the impact of share issue privatizations (SIPs) on the growth of world capital markets (especially stock markets). I begin by documenting the increasing importance of capital markets, and the declining role of commercial banks, in corporate financial systems around the world. I then show that privatization programs-- particularly those involving public share offerings--have had a dramatic impact both on the development of non-US stock markets and on the participation of individual and institutional investors in those stock markets. This has told the reason of the fast growth of global capital market. And then I succinctly indicated the continuance of the rapid growth, the great future. The last but not the least is the recommendation. I can confidently assert that, if executed properly, a series of share issue privatizations can indeed promote the growth of global capital market, which will yield economic and political dividends for many years to come. That means there is a need to encourage the development of SIPs in order to gain growth of global capital market. References Dictionary of Business, Oxford University Press, ? Market House Books Ltd 1996 The Economist (April 12, 1997), "Fragile, Handle With Care: A Survey of Banking In Emerging Markets." The Economist (April 17, 1999), "On A Wing and A Prayer: A Survey of International Banking." Gibbon, H., 1998, "Worldwide Economic Orthodoxy," Privatisation International 123, 4-5. Gibbon, H., 2000, "Editor's Letter," Privatisation Yearbook, London, Thomson Financial, 1. Gompers, P. and J. Lerner, 1998, "What Drives Venture Capital Fundraising?" Brookings Papers On Economic Activity--Microeconomics, 149-192. Jones, S.L., W.L. Megginson, R.C. Nash, and J.M. Netter, 1999, "Share Issue Privatizations As Financial Means To Political and Economic Ends," Journal of Financial Economics 53(2), 217-253 Kester, W.C., 1992, "Governance, Contracting and Investment Horizons," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 5(2), 83-98. Ljungqvist, A.P., T. Jenkinson and W.J. Wilhelm, Jr., 2000, "Has the Introduction of Bookbuilding Increased the Efficiency of International IPOs?" New York University Working Paper. Maher, M. and T. Andersson, 1999, "Corporate Performance: Effects On Firm Performance and Economic Growth," OECD Working Paper (Paris). Prowse, S., 1992, "The Structure of Corporate Ownership in Japan," Journal of Finance 47(3), 1121-1140. Porter, M.E., 1992, "Capital Choices: Changing the Way America Invests in Industry," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 5(2), 4-16. Tsuru, K., 2000, "Finance and Growth, Some Theoretical Considerations and A Review of the Empirical Literature," OECD Working Paper Series, No 228. data from the Statistics section of the International Federation of Stock Exchange's website (www.fibv.com).

The Impact of Enterprise Resource Planning Systems on Management

Abstract

Information technology is significantly changing the operating practices of an increasing number of companies globally. These developments have important implications for the accounting profession and in particular accounting practices in the twenty-first century. This study examines the development of enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems as a means of illustrating how changes in information technology allows all systems in a company to be linked to manage operations holistically.

The study investigates the change in accounting systems using a sample of Australian companies with emphasis on the adoption of ERP systems including the potential impact of ERP on capital budgeting processes. The results show that ERP systems are changing management accounting practices, although at this stage, the impact on capital budgeting techniques appears to be limited. The findings contribute to the emerging body of literature on the development of ERP systems and its impact on management accounting teaching and research.

Key words: Management accounting, capital budgeting, enterprise resource planning systems, information technology.

1. Introduction
During the past decade an increasing number of companies have been impacted by information technology in terms of computerized transaction processing and electronic telecommunications such as that done with the Internet, intranet, and extranet. For competitive reasons, companies have had to change from manual and then mainframe systems to what has been called enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems. An ERP system has a common database or data warehouse that links together all systems in all parts of a company including, for example, capital budgeting with financial, control, manufacturing, sales, fixed assets, inventory, human resources modules, etc. An ERP system, by linking all systems through a data warehouse, allows a company to manage its
operations holistically.
A second impact of ERP systems has been a general shift to manage at the activity level rather than at the more abstract level of financial transactions. This means that management accounting, with its focus on activities, can be most effective when it is used with ERP systems to incorporate the activity level for costing and performance measurement. To be effective an ERP system will contain an extensive chart of accounts or codes for activities such as accurate recording and tracking of activities, revenues and costs. The coding incorporates stable entities of a business, such as divisions, plants, stores, and warehouses. At a detailed level there are codes for functions such as finance, production, sales, marketing, and materials management. There are also the traditional financial account codes such as assets, liabilities, revenues, and expenses, and the central ERP feature of coding processes, activities, and sub-activities. There must be consistent coding among all parts of a company in order for them to relate to one another.
As the ERP system incorporates activities in terms of quantities of resources, including labour, a record of resource use is maintained. Therefore, performance can be measured in physical terms and compared to standards, which allows for the calculation of variances. This performance measurement at the activity level serves as a feedback system on efficiency and effectiveness. The confusion from abstract monetary measures is erased, and what is actually happening with the conversion of resources into goods and services can be seen. ERP systems have the potential to change management accounting systems with more detailed, more integrated, and faster produced information.
To date the research on the impact of ERP systems on management accounting can best be described as preliminary. It has involved case studies of one or two companies at a time and some field studies. The findings from these studies have been largely anecdotal. Also, some have been deductive in that arguments based on ERP attributes have been made on how management accounting should be affected. For instance, in a field study, Cook et al. (2000) described activity-based capital budgeting at a division of a US telecommunications company. The findings from Cook et al.’s field work suggests that ERP systems can increase the effectiveness of capital budgeting by anchoring financial numbers to activities rather than stopping at monetary measures with pre-ERP practices.
The goal of this paper is to investigate the change in accounting systems using asample of Australian companies with emphasis on the adoption of ERP systems including the potential impact of ERP on capital budgeting processes. Prior research in the Australian environment has indicated that the economic/institutional setting is significantly different from the US and European environments as Australian companies are smaller, with fewer multinational subsidiaries and more homogenous management background in terms of culture and educational background (Matolcsy et al., 2005).
Given these differences in the Australian environment Matolcsy et al claim that the benefits of ERP systems are likely to be more pronounced and measurable, at least in the short run in Australia. The significance of the study is its contribution to the emerging body of literature on the development of ERP systems and has the potential to provide useful contrast and/or confirmation of the limited research from mainly US based studies. Furthermore this study contributes to the body of knowledge of the impact of ERP on management accounting teaching and research using a broadly based sample of corporations in an Australian setting.
In ascertaining the impact of information technology on management accounting, this paper will have the following additional sections. The second section contains a literature review of the impact of information technology on management accounting. With the literature review, the third section develops the research method and determines the sample used to ascertain the impact of ERP systems on management accounting practices of Australian companies. The fourth section will contain the findings, while the fifth and sixth will be the discussion and conclusion, respectively. Recommendations for future research will be included in the conclusion.

2. Literature Review

2.1 The integration of ERP systems into management accounting
Expectations for ERP systems to change management accounting were introduced by Kaplan and Cooper (1998, pp. 11-24), especially with the fourth of their four-stage model for cost and performance measurement systems. When a company had first stage systems, those systems were basically inadequate for all purposes, even for financial reporting. When they make improvements, the first stage companies tend to add financial systems to meet regulatory requirements. As a result, they evolve into second stage systems where financial reporting systems dominate; these companies are financial reporting driven. The companies with third stage systems have customized, managerially relevant cost management, financial reporting, and performance measurement systems, however, these systems are standalone. ERP systems only occur with the fourth stage systems where the ERP systems integrate cost management, financial reporting, and performance measurement (Kaplan and Cooper, 1998, p. 299).
An ERP system has a common data structure that permits data to be entered and accessed from anywhere in the world (Kaplan and Cooper, 1998, p. 275). An activity-based costing system is an integral part of an ERP system, and thus managers have information about present and future activities at operational levels when making decisions (Kaplan and Cooper, 1998, pp. 275-277, 285). With activity-based information, monetary distortions can be reduced. Feedback with activity information improves learning. Thus, in managing at the activity level, costing, budgeting, performance measurement, bonuses, resource spending, forecasting, budgeting, production, etc. can beimproved in terms of efficiency and effectiveness. An ERP system will allow the company to obtain cost and performance information more frequently, even daily, rather than waiting a month (Kaplan and Cooper, 1998, p. 279).
Kaplan and Cooper (1998, pp. 301-306) state that the integration with ERP systems allow all managerial processes, including budgeting, what-if analysis, and transfer pricing to be also based on activities rather than only dollars. Activity-based budgeting gives companies the opportunity to authorize and control resources based on accurate demand information. Accuracy increases because activity-based budgeting is based on facts, and less upon power, influence, and negotiating ability. Furthermore, the activity-level focus of budgeting leads to more accuracy in forecasting the demands for all direct and, especially indirect activities.
At the same time as Kaplan and Cooper’s (1998) important book, Davenport (1998, p. 122) wrote “the business world’s embrace of enterprise systems may in fact be the most important development in the corporate use of information technology in the 1990s.” Davenport (1998, p. 127) expected companies to change with the implementation of ERP systems:
In addition to having important strategic implications, enterprise systems also have a direct, and often paradoxical, impact on a company’s organization and culture. On the one hand, by providing universal, real-time access to operating and financial data, the systems allow companies to streamline their management structures, creating flatter, more flexible, and more democratic organizations. On the other hand, they also involve the centralization of control over information and the standardization of processes, which are qualities more consistent with hierarchical, command-and-control organizations with uniform cultures.

The paradox with ERP systems – streamlined, flatter, and more flexible and democratic (i.e., more control at the frontline) and centralization of control over information and the standardization of processes (i.e., more control at the centre) -- makes Davenport (1998, p. 131) ask how will ERP systems affect companies? Another equally relevant question would be, how will ERP systems affect management accounting? Taken together, Kaplan and Cooper (1998) and Davenport (1998) suggest that ERP systems will change companies, but these researchers do not specify the nature of these changes. They certainly do not explicitly specify how ERP systems will impact on management accounting. Nevertheless, it is possible to infer that changes will occur to management accounting from the integration among cost management, financial reporting, performance measurement, and all other systems. Thus, it is not surprising that there has been some exploratory research prompted by Kaplan and Cooper (1998) and Davenport (1998) on the impact of ERP systems on management accounting.
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2.2 The practical application of ERP systems – capital budgeting.
As previously outlined, a field study conducted by Cook et al. (2000), described the operation of activity-based capital budgeting as a division of a US telecommunications company. In their study Cook et al. found that the activity information was linked to the financial accounting system, thus behaving like an ERP system for the purpose of capital budgeting. This approach went beyond the traditional capital budgeting by linking the traditional incremental monetary revenues and costs with underlying activities. The authors concluded that by separately identifying the level of revenues and costs associated with process activities, the uncertainty with such activities and related revenues and costs can be closely examined. They added that this activity-level capital budgeting gives managers far more information and understanding than possible from the traditional financial simulation of aggregated income-statement approach. Their arguments were convincing but could not be verified.
Hope and Fraser (2001; 2003) disclosed that some companies have ceased traditional budgeting processes. Four reasons have been put forward by Hope and Fraser (2001) as to why existing budgeting processes are failing:

- few companies are satisfied with their budgeting processes
- far too much time is spent on budgeting and too little time is spent on strategy
- Financial capital is now a small part of market value
- Budgeting is expensive and adds little value either to the company or its users (Hope and Fraser, 2001, pp. 7-8).

They claimed that hierarchical companies have devolved to networks, where the planning capacity and control inherent in budgeting can be accomplished by other means (Hope and Fraser, 2003, p. 108). ERP systems, which they label enterprise-wide information systems, are important for eliminating budgeting, particularly when accompanied by the balanced scorecard, shareholder value models such as EVA, activity-based costing and management, rolling forecasts, and benchmarking (Hope and Fraser, 2001, pp. 5-6).
Some of the companies identified by Hope and Fraser (2003) -- for example, the Scandinavian bank, Svenska Handelsbanken, -- abandoned budgeting before ERP systems. This suggests that, for those companies, ERP systems would not have been essential for effectiveness without budgeting. Perhaps, ERP systems will allow contemporary companies, with ERP system, to be effective without budgeting. The impact of ERP systems on budgeting is still an empirical question.
It was noted from the findings of Cook et al. (2000) and Hope and Fraser (2001, 2003) that there was a lack of empirical studies on the impact of information technology on capital budgeting. Additional empirical testing was provided by Granlund and Malmi (2002). Following from Kaplan and Cooper (1998) they noted the “lack of studies examining the organizational and behavioural aspects of these systems” (p.300). Their purpose was “to examine the effects of integrated, enterprise-wide information systems on management accounting and management accountants’ work.” As they concluded there was “no scientific evidence on the research topic” they decided to use an exploratory field study to provide “insights” for subsequent research. Sixteen persons were interviewed at 10 large almost exclusively SAP R/3 adopters. They found no major direct or indirect impacts of ERP on management accounting systems (p. 309). The changes that did occur did not lead to changes in the logic of management accounting systems.

2.3 ERP and its impact on the work of management accountants
Although none of the recent studies on the impact of ERP systems have indicated changes to management accounting systems, there have been some studies that indicated effects on the work of management accountants. For example, Burns and Baldvinsdottir(1999), Coglio (2003), Quattrone and Hopper (2001, 2005), Granlund and Malmi (2002), Baxendale and Jama (2003), Meall (2003), Scapens and Jazayeri (2003), and Dechow and Mouritsen (2005) have addressed the effects of changes to management accounting systems. Each of these studies will be discussed briefly below.
In a field study of a single company, Burns and Baldvinsdottir (1999) observed that SAP centralized the accounting function and decentralized control to many people in the company who became “hybrid accountants”. The traditional core activity of management accountants, posting the books, was delegated to others in the company. They cite the director of finance saying: “They may post the odd correctional entry. In fact some analysts aren’t allowed to post. They generally are analytical people rather than analytical accountants.” Management accountants have become analysts.
Caglio (2003) studied an Italian company to understand how the implementation of an ERP system challenges the definition of the expertise and roles of accountants. Caglio (pp. 140-141) found three structurational characteristics that jointly materialized during the project:
- a higher degree of standardization of accounting activities and practices;
- a stronger need for integration and interfunctional collaboration; and
- a more prominent role for the accounting department in the management of the new IT system.
Quattrone and Hopper (2001, p. 403) undertook two case studies of ERP implementations to obtain insights into how new systems give rise to multiple spaces and times within [companies].” The case studies were conducted over 12 months at multi national companies that were implementing SAP systems (pp. 410-411). One study included various hierarchical levels and locations in a large American multinational company. Twenty managers were interviewed. The other study was the sales and distribution function of the European headquarters of a Japanese multinational company. Twelve managers were interviewed in this second study.
Quattrone and Hopper (2001, pp. 420-426) found that with the implementation of the ERP system, control went from a single point or “totalitarian” view of control with the controller during periodic reporting to a multiplicity of loci of control available at anytime. Anyone with access to an ERP system can “exert control as they wish, slicing and dicing the organization and information, and defining what should be controlled, how and why, differently.” They add that, “integrated business functions decide what is best for each business area and accountants analyze how this can be obtained.” They conclude that if the centres of control are changed as with ERP implementations, it is necessary to re-conceptualize accounting and control (p. 430).
In a later paper dealing with the same two subject organizations, Quattrone and Hopper (2005, p. 760-761)) concluded each organization adopted different strategies, which resulted in different configurations, implementations and usages of the ERP system. Granlund and Malmi (2002), mentioned earlier, also studied the effects of ERP systems on management accountants’ work with preliminary and brief field studies at 10 companies. The working hypothesis that ERP systems would allow management accountants to devote more time to business analysis was supported by five of the 10 companies (p. 311).
Baxendale and Jama (2003), from an assessment of ERP system functionality,conclude that management accounting data integrity and reliability will increase. The use of relational databases allows information to be shared rather than re-entered. Formal processes exist in ERP systems to ensure reliability by automatic counts and reconciliations. These conclusions were not empirically tested.
Meall (2003) studied the transition of budgeting at the UK company, Southern Water from spreadsheet application to ERP based budgeting. Anecdotally, Meall reported that the ERP-based budgeting system reduced budget preparation time, allowed more time for analyses, and increased collaboration. This case study did not suggest that the ERP system could make budgeting redundant as did Hope and Fraser (2003), but instead suggested that ERP systems can improve the efficiency and effectiveness of budgeting.
Scapens and Jazayeri (2003, p. 203) reviewed the literature to find that “ERP systems are having relatively limited impacts on management accounting and management accountants.” In view of the literature, the purpose of Scapens and Jazayeri study (2003, p. 204) was “to explore the processes of change and to examine in more depth the nature of the changes in management accounting which have accompanied the implementation of an ERP system … within a specific organization.” The field study was conducted from 1996 to 1999 at the European division of a US company. The process focus to study management accounting was crucial, according to these authors, as ERP systems are process systems. The latter lead to more information sharing and teamwork on one hand and greater centralization of information processing activities (pp. 216-218).
Scapens and Jazayeri (2003, pp. 224-229) judged the ERP system to have led to a number of changes to management accounting, i.e., the elimination of routine jobs, the development of accounting knowledge in line managers, the production of more forward looking information, and a wider role for management accountants. More specifically, Scapens and Jazayeri (2003, p. 224) state that the move from record-keeper to internal consultant requires management accountants to acquire new skills. Rather than information reporters, management accountants need to be sales persons and change agents. In their view management accountants need to sell ideas for accomplishing strategy with information. Scapens and Jazayeri (2003, p. 226) were not convinced that ERP systems drive the change in management accounting. Overall their findings were unclear in suggesting causes of the changes to management accounting.
Dechow and Mouritsen (2005) studied two Danish organizations to understand the impact of ERP systems on integration and control. They found that ERP systems “are highly involved in transforming and establishing management control agendas through concerns for integration.” (pp. 724-725). In particular, Dechow and Mouritsen concluded that integration is not a solution but rather a means by which to problematize through the process. They noted that this represented a way of transporting information across localities in such a way that suited the needs and requirements of different parties and different times.
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2.4 Summary of findings from prior literature
Overall the findings from prior literature on the impact of ERP systems on management accountants do not completely agree that ERP systems will change the work of management accountants in particular ways. Nevertheless the prior literature suggests that management accountants will be less likely to do routine tasks and more likely to be involved with analysis. Similarly, the prior studies suggest that the output of managementaccountants will likely be more precise, more accurate and produced more frequently.
However, there is no conclusive evidence to support these expectations from the research on how ERP systems impact capital budgeting, budgeting, and other components of a management accounting process. In summary, there is confusion in the literature as to the potential for ERP systems to change management accounting and a lack of clear identification of the changes that have actually occurred. Burns and Scapens, (2000) suggest that perhaps, management accounting will take longer to reflect changes because of institutional forces.

3. Research Method

3.1 Background to the research approach
This preliminary study will be guided by the literature, which contains substantial ambiguity about the impact of ERP systems on management accounting. Although the focus of this study relates to the process of management accounting, special attention is devoted to the impact of ERP systems on capital budgeting as a specific and important management accounting technique.
In committing to investments with returns that come later, capital budgeting has the inherent challenge of dealing with uncertain future events. In addition, the economic effects of capital projects are difficult to track to future revenues, expenses and costs because the spreadsheets that have been used for analysis are not typically connected to the company’s accounting and operating systems, past, present, or future. This has resulted in the sometime approval of the wrong projects, and more importantly the inability to ascertain what the implemented projects will accomplish in terms of revenues, costs, expenses, and resulting profits. According to Cook et al. (2000), these shortcomings in capital budgeting techniques can potentially be reduced or eliminated with the increasingly prevalent ERP systems.

3.1.1 Traditional approaches to capital budgeting
Capital budgeting can be changed by ERP systems. As noted, it has been done separately from the firm’s accounting and operating systems, past, present, or future. In a traditional non-ERP setting capital budgeting may be completed separately with a spreadsheet. For example, given a project for outlays for replacement equipment where the time frame for the internal rate of return or net present value calculation could be 10 years. The project could include an improved production process to reduce material waste as well as labour costs. Also, the new process could reduce the time for set ups for different product runs, and thus enable the capture of special orders where quick response is necessary.
As IRR/NPV analysis is incremental, the spreadsheet would show the incremental cash flows for capital outlays, reduced material costs, reduced labour costs, and the contribution from the additional sales. However, the data items on the spreadsheet of pre-ERP capital budgeting are not explicitly linked with what activities happened, what activities are happening, or what activities will happen in the future. This separateness can be resolved by ERP systems integrating capital budgeting with companies’ accounting and other systems.
3.2 Benefits of ERP for capital budgeting decisions
Potentially, capital budgeting can be done significantly differently with a functioning ERP system because of the integration of accounting and other systems. The common unified data warehouse is able to integrate, for example, financial transactions, activities in activity-based costing (ABC) and activity-based management (ABM) sub-systems, budgets and plans, and performance measures such as customer satisfaction or an entire balanced scorecard. Of course for these expectations to be realized, companies would need to have a full range of ERP modules, which may be presently uncommon.
Consider how ERP systems impact capital budgeting in its three stages, (1) preparation and approval, (2) operational, and (3) post audit. During the first stage, the ERP system will allow the revenue and cost items to be linked to actual activities. For example with new equipment, if some of the costs are labour, the actual model for labour use in manufacturing will be assessed and improvements in labour productivity due to the new asset will be modelled. Modelling allows alternative approaches or variants to be tested and understood. Similarly, if there is a change in material usage, this will be modelled and the impact considered in the capital project evaluation. In effect, ERP systems allow capital projects to be modelled as mini independent businesses or investment centres.
For the second operational stage, the models used in the first stage, preparation and approval can be compared to the actual model in use regarding labour, material, and asset input and the actual outputs. In effect, the modelled assumptions can be explicitly validated with experience. Similarly, for the third stage at or near the end of the project the models can be assessed to do a post audit to determine the life-time success of the project and to provide feedback on the capital budgeting process.
As with capital budgeting, the impact of ERP systems could be deductively specified, or more precisely conjectured for other management accounting practices such as budgeting, operational statements, forecasting, performance measurement, and costing.
The above capital budgeting example indicates that ERP systems have the potential to lead to greater integration, accuracy, speed, and effectiveness. As management accounting techniques involve company information, it would be reasonable to expect, from the implementation of ERP systems, improvements at least in integration, accuracy, speed, and effectiveness, if not a major change such as the elimination of budgeting.
3.2 Research Design
Most of the earlier research on the impact of ERP systems on management accounting have been field studies. Additionally, given the lack of conclusive findings in the literature about the impact of ERP this research will employ a survey of large corporations incorporating open-ended questions about changes in capital budgeting and other management accounting practices. However, it is proposed that this will be an exploratory study given that there is uncertainty as to whether there have been any significant changes to management accounting with greater use of ERP systems.
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3.3.1 The sample
This exploratory study of the impact of ERP on management accounting was tested with Australian companies of sufficient size to have acquired ERP systems in the past 10 years. The sample consisted of 105 companies among the ASX-listed companies with sales of more than $400 million according to DatAnalysis The companies represented classified industry groups including: automobiles and components; capital goods; chemicals; commercial services and supplies; construction materials; consumer durables and apparel; container and packaging; energy; food, beverage and tobacco; food and staples; hotels, restaurants and leisure; media; metals and mining; paper and forest products; retailing; software and services; telecommunication services; transportation; and utilities.
Larger firms tend to implement ERP systems for two reasons: their size indicates they can afford the required monetary outlays and they require the systems to look after their extensive and routinized transactions. Capital budgeting was deemed important for the above industries, which tend to be capital intensive. The Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) of the companies were identified through DatAnalysis in order to telephone them to verify the incumbent CFO, exact name and title, address, and telephone number. New Zealand and foreign headquartered companies were eliminated because of the expected difficulty in gaining responses. In addition, companies were dropped from the sample where the CFO could not be identified or verified. This process resulted in a reduction of the sample size from 105 to 90 companies ranging in size from $400 million to $34 billion in sales.

3.3.2 The Survey Instrument and its Administration
As there has been a lack of conclusive findings in the literature, it was decided that open-ended questions about the changes that are occurring with capital budgeting and other management accounting practices would be a feature of the survey sent to participating companies. This approach recognizes Scapens and Jazayeri’s (2003, p. 226) concern that the changes occurring with management accounting may be caused by non-ERP factors. The survey asked various demographic questions about the role of the respondent within the organisation, the type of industry represented by the firm and the gender of the respondent. In terms of the questions specifically related to management accounting practices and capital budgeting, there were a range of yes/no questions as well as questions inviting respondents to describe practices and changes in practices over the past 10 years within organisations. A copy of the survey is provided in Appendix 1.
The survey was sent to the 90 CFOs in May 2005, with follow up requests being made in June and August. Respondents were given a choice of responding either by mail or through a web response. Telephones contacts were made to non respondents together with a second and third mailing of the survey. There was a great willingness among most telephone-contacted CFOs to respond, but they often admitted to pressing priorities.
Those CFOs who claimed to have responded or who were unwilling to respond were eliminated from subsequent mailing and telephone follow ups. CFOs with less than 10 years of experience tended to involve an employee with the required experience or stated they chose not to respond.

4. Results

4.1 Demographics of Respondents
Of the 90 CFOs sampled, 35 responded giving an overall response rate of 38.9 percent. Table 1 shows the demographics of respondents. Two respondents self identified as female and 33 as male. The median size of the sampled companies was $1.1 billion (based on information from DatAnalysis) and respondents were representative of a range of industry types with Industrial (17 per cent), Consumer Staples and Materials (both 20 per cent) being the most highly represented industry groups.

INSERT TABLE 1 HERE

4.2 Impact of information technology on Capital Budgeting
The first five questions in the second section of the questionnaire related to the impact of information technology on capital budgeting techniques. Table 2 provides a summary of the responses to the summary questions, while the open-ended responses are summarised in each category of discussion below.

INSERT TABLE 2 HERE

4.2.1 Changes in Capital Budgeting Techniques
In the first instance respondents were asked to indicate whether or not the firm’s capital budgeting techniques had changed in the past 10 years. Twenty-nine (83 per cent) of respondents stated there had been changes to capital budgeting techniques, while six indicated that there had been no changes.
In identifying the nature of the changes in capital budgeting techniques, respondents were asked to specify the nature of the changes. Responses were received from 26 companies. The most common themes were (1) an increased use of analytical or measurement tools for capital budgeting, such as risk adjusted profitability index, risk adjustments, ROI, WACC, DCF, IRR, payback, and (2) an increase in formalisation and rigor in the overall process, such as an investment management committee, capex manual.

4.2.2 ERP and its impact on Capital Budgeting Techniques

Seventy-seven per cent (26) of respondents indicated that their companies had ERP systems such as SAP, Oracle or PeopleSoft. In addressing the possible impact of ERP systems on capital budgeting techniques, only nine respondents stated that this was the case. Respondents who stated that their ERP system affected capital budgeting, noted that ERP systems provide capital budgeting with better information. Recognizing that the ERP system provided better information, one respondent said,
The amount and quality of information available with which to make capital budgeting decisions has vastly increased. The system essentially is a database of information that can be mined. Higher levels of system integration feeding into the core accounting systems have also increased the sophistication of the process.
Another respondent admitted the ERP system provided better information, but added that “the information is available in the system but most of the process is Excel driven therefore largely unchanged.”
The ERP systems also allow the capital budgeting processes to be stored online, which allows for approvals by various levels to be done more easily. This improvement in the process occurs despite capital budgeting becoming more integrated and more complex.

4.3 Changes to Management Accounting Systems
The second part of the questionnaire addressed the impact of information technology more generally on management accounting systems. For example, respondents were asked to describe how their companies’ management accounting systems changed in the past 10 years using five headings: budgeting, operating statements, forecasting operating performance, performance measurement and costing.

4.3.1 Budgeting
Thirty-one respondents reported changes to budgeting in the past 10 years. The change to budgeting identified by respondents in order of frequency was: more rigorous, aimed at maximizing shareholder value, more accurate, more automated, more comprehensive, more integrated among financial statements, for more periods of time, revised more frequently, more sophisticated, more structured, more disciplined, simultaneously “top-down” and “bottom-up,” more detailed, more transparent, easier to review, and more strategic. Many companies were replacing spreadsheets with integrated budget modelling software. The budgeting process was the same, but information technology made budgeting more functional. One respondent stated:
Divisional and segment budgets have moved from being focussed on outputs (i.e. particular categories of expenditure) to being focussed on outcomes (i.e. overall profitability). The budget process has also been rationalized to ensure information submitted to the board is concise enough for useful decision making.

4.3.2 Operating statements
There were 29 responses; outlining changes to operating statements in the past 10 years. These changes included in declining frequency: more automated; more focus on KPIs; more refined; more transparency; more comprehensive; more focus on non-financial performance measures; more detailed; more focus on cash flows; more focus on marginal returns and ROC; more standardization; more segmented reporting; more analysis of costs; more in line with accounting standards and best practices; operating statements now available online in real-time or next day. Several respondents summed up the changes to operating statements as follows:
- “No substantial change other than greater use of information technology in the process.” Some respondents mentioned the use of advanced tools such as OLAP (online analytical processing), Hyperion, and Cogros in addition to various ERP systems.

- “A feature of the last 10 years has been different divisions operating on different ledgers and charts of account. Moving to a single ledger and chart of accounts is one objective of the ERP system.”
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4.3.3 Forecasting
There were 31 responses related to changes to forecasting in the past 10 years. The responses in declining frequency were: more frequent forecasting or re-forecasting; rolling forecasts; more detailed; moved from spreadsheets to Hyperion or other management support system; better integration; longer forecasts; more accurate; more use of spreadsheets; and more consistency among organizational units. One respondent, with an ERP system, summarized the changes:
Forecasting was completed on Excel spreadsheets and consolidated. Now forecasting is made easier as the actual data can be copied and forecast out within the one database, producing standard reports and consolidated within a much shorter timeframe. The focus is more on accuracy and analysis

4.3.4 Performance measurement
Responses were received from 32 of the 35 respondents in relation to performance measurement with only three respondents reporting no changes during the past 10 years. The changes in declining order of prevalence were: more KPIs; more non-financial performance measures; more financial performance measures: more analysis focused on leading indicators; greater emphasis on balance sheet and cash flow; greater depth and more targeting; more timely or real time; performance based incentives; extensive analytical support from the data warehouse; greater use of information technology; online goals and objectives; and performance measures provided to board.
One respondent, from a company with an ERP system, summarized the impact on performance measures as follows:
“Increased complexity of performance measurement systems due to increased knowledge of key business drivers, and the increased capabilities of a fully computerized integrated system.”
Another, with the ERP system, said timely performance information is no longer difficult to obtain.

4.3.5 Costing.
There were only 27 of a possible 35 responses related to changes in costing over the past 10 years. The changes to costing in declining frequency were: improved modelling; ABC introduced; more rigor and accuracy; refinements; more frequently updated; more summarization; more detail; better tracking; improved with centralization of plant costing; greater use of information technology; internal charging introduced; and absorption base used more widely.

4.4 Impact of computerisation on management accounting
All respondents indicated that computerisation had an impact on the company’s management accounting system in the past ten years. From question 3, it was learned that 27 of the companies had ERP systems, thus eight companies must have used non-ERP computerisation to respond positively to this question. A further open-ended question sought to gain feedback on the specific types of computerisation that had changed the firm’s management accounting and control system. This question provides a different perspective on understanding management accounting change. Respondents from 30 of the companies explained how computerisation, which includes ERP systems, affected their management accounting. The most common response was similar to the following quote:
“Computerisation has considerably shortened reporting timeframes and increased levels of accuracy. Detail information is now available on a daily basis.”
Another respondent basically said the same, but added that this was all done while work volumes increased and staff levels remained stable/unchanged. Other descriptions of the changes included in order of declining frequency: more integrated; more computerized; more automated; streamlined and faster consolidations; faster production of information; greater transparency; more data integrity; real-time control; better understanding of fixed and variable costs; able to calculate profitability at lower organizational levels; more accuracy; year-end results can be more readily forecasted; increasing use of ABC and its derivatives; and more emphasis on value added activities. One respondent, at a company with an ERP system stated:
“More a case of better use by management of the existing computer systems platform than major investment in new platform.”
This with other responses implies that benefits from ERP take time to accrue.
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5. Discussion
The process of capital budgeting, at the companies where the CFOs responded to this survey, would appear to have not changed greatly over the past ten years. There is no indication from the findings of this study that capital budgeting is being linked to the activity level as suggested by Cook et al. (2000). Only nine of the respondents with ERP systems stated that those systems affected capital budgeting suggesting that the impact of ERP systems on capital budgeting has been minimal and, probably, preliminary. ERP systems and other forms of computerisation have contributed to capital budgeting by (1) an increased use of analytical or measurement tools for capital budgeting, such risk adjusted profitability index, risk adjustments, ROI, WACC, DCF, IRR, payback, and (2) an increase in formalisation and rigour in the overall process, such as an investment management committee, capex manual.
The 90 companies were selected from the largest manufacturing and retail companies operating in Australia. There was no indication that the responding companies were biased, thus the results are highly suggestive of the status of capital budgeting in large Australian companies.
It was found that computerisation impacted the management accounting processes at all responding companies, although only 27 of the 35 had ERP systems. This finding suggests that non-ERP computerisation was also impacting on management accounting. It is difficult to separate out the exact impact of ERP systems from the more general computerisation which improved the functionality of management accounting. Every aspect of management accounting improved, including more detail, more accurate, faster, more integrated, and improved data integrity. However, the same management accounting techniques were being used, but they were performing at a higher level.
Changes had occurred to all management accounting at the five identified areas in the past 10 years. Budgeting had been reported as changed in 31 of the 35 firms. In particular the functionality of budgeting had greatly increased by moving to spreadsheets and then to integrated budget models with ERP systems and such management support systems as Hyperion. There were 28 responses out of a possible 35 that stated that operating statements had changed in the past 10 years. In particular, functionality had improved with computerisation, specifically ERP systems with their single chart of accounts and relational data warehouse. The operating statements had changed with more automation, real-time or next day production, with for example, more focus on KPIs.
Twenty-nine respondents said forecasting had changed in the past 10 years. Functionality improved by moving production to spreadsheets and then to ERP systems and management support systems such as Hyperion. Functionality also improved with performance measurement during the last ten years in 29 of the responding companies.
Performance measurement was extended because of a greater understanding of operations and because of computerisation, particularly ERP systems; performance measurement was more extensive and timelier. Moreover, this greater level of performance was accomplished without increases in staff.
Costing was the management accounting technique where the least changes occurred, with only 21 companies being cited for changes in the past 10 years. Computerisation had contributed to costing improvements such as improved modelling, ABC implementation, and more rigor and accuracy.

6. Conclusion
ERP systems and computerisation are changing the practices of capital budgeting and management accounting. Based on this sample of Australian companies, the impact is important but, probably, preliminary. Computerisation is affecting management accounting, but it is difficult to sort out the impact of each. ERP systems lead to highly standardised and highly computerised information. Without fundamentally changing them, ERP systems are allowing capital budgeting, budgeting, operating statements, forecasting, performance measurement, and costing to be more detailed, more accurate, and reported more quickly.
The results of this study suggest that there have been no major changes to management accounting in the Australian context in the last ten years. The predictions of Cook et al. (2000) were not able to be substantiated from the findings of this study. There was no mention in responses of capital budgeting being done at the activity level. Actually, the findings were without any discussion of activity level management accounting, other than a few mentions that ABC had been implemented. In addition, there were no indications from the respondents that budgeting was being abandoned nor was there consideration being given to eliminate budgeting.
Computerisation, including ERP systems, is changing the way management accounting is being done in the current economic environment and thereby improving the functionality of management accounting techniques. The findings of this study suggest that the least changes appeared to be occurring with costing.
There is another important inference to be gleaned from this preliminary survey.
Prior to ERP systems, the main systems were owned by the CFO’s unit. With ERP systems, the CFO is just one of the many owners, and management accountants must start accessing information produced by these others systems, which are integrated with management accounting systems, to assist management. Some respondents referred to these changes, especially to increased non-financial information. In other words, management accounting must move beyond accounting systems.
This research has limitations. The sample is not large, and the respondents may have biased and defective memories. Admittedly, the best method for studying management accounting change is longitudinal. However, archival data for longitudinal studies are very difficult to obtain and studies themselves are time consuming. This preliminary study suggests that such longitudinal studies would be valuable.
From this preliminary research a number of suggestions for future research and teaching have been inferred along three themes. The first is for a detailed examination of exactly how computerisation and ERP systems can improve capital budgeting and management accounting. There is need for more understanding of ERP systems, and how they relate to the existing management accounting techniques and more importantly identification of the common functionalities. There is also a need to understand how ERP systems are implemented, the time required and the costs and benefits from the various modules and various management accounting techniques. The strategic importance of ERP needs to be established. Is it necessary or an alternative to other forms of computerisation? The answer to this question requires detailed, longitudinal field work. The research to date on ERP has largely been done without detailed understanding of the system processes. In the past ERP systems were considered “black boxes” that would have some impact on management accounting. The initial step in further research would be to carefully examine the functionality of ERP systems, particularly, in regard to management accounting. This should be done with colleagues in the information technology department/school, ERP vendors, and vendors offering management support systems such as Hyperion. Then there is the requirement to track the computerisation and ERP use at a group of companies longitudinally to understand how computerisation, including ERP systems, impacts management accounting and creates competitive advantage. Public information would be available, but also there would be the need to contact persons from the CFO area as well as persons in the IT area of the sampled companies.
The second theme for future research is an advocacy role for researchers, which may be a problem. However, if we consider management accounting to be an applied science like medicine, then like medical researchers we need to advocate. James McKinsey (1922) advocated budgeting, and founded the consulting company that has his name, McKinsey and Associates. Similarly, it was Cooper and Kaplan (1988) and Kaplan and Norton (1992) who, respectively, established activity-based costing and the balanced scorecard as management accounting techniques.
Third, there is an opportunity to instruct students on capital budgeting and management accounting in an ERP environment. It is likely that the simulation of a company and its ERP system would be needed to adequately prepare students for this change in environment. The pre-ERP approach to management accounting as paper andpencil or Excel calculations would need to be replaced with the ERP approach to management accounting recognising ERP as a process within a set of systems.

[NextPage]
References

Baxendale, S. J. and Jama, F. (2003), “What ERP can Offer ABC, Strategic Finance,” Issue 2, pp. 54-57.
Burns, J. and Baldvinsdottir, G. (1999), Hybrids” The Changing Roles of Accountants in Stam plc,” Working paper, University of Manchester. Cited in Scapens and Jazayeri (2003).
Burns, J., and Scapens, R.W., (2000), “Conceptualizing management Accounting Change: An Institutional Framework,” Management Accounting Research, pp.3-25.
Caglio, A., (2003), “Enterprise Resource Planning Systems and Accountants: Towards Hybridization?” European Accounting Review, pp. 123-153.
Cooper, R. and Kaplan, R.S., (1988), “Measure Costs Right: Make the Right Decisions,” Harvard Business Review, September-October, pp. 96-103.
Davenport, T.H., (1998),“Putting the Enterprise into the Enterprise System, Harvard Business Review, Jul-August, pp. 121—131.
Dechow, N., and Mouritsen, J., (2005), “Enterprise Resource Planning Systems, Management Control and the Quest for Integration,” Accounting, Organizations and Society, pp. 691-733.
Granlund, M. and Malmi, T, (2002), “Moderate Impact of ERPS on Management Accounting: A Lag or Permanent Outcome?” Management Accounting Research, pp. 299-321.
Hope, J. and Fraser, R., (2001), “Beyond Budgeting, White Paper,” CAM-I Beyond Budgeting Round Table, May.
Hope, J. and Fraser, R., (2003), “Who Needs Budgets?” Harvard Business Review, February, pp. 108-115.
Janoff, B., (2000), “High-Tech Knowledge,” Progressive Grocer, December, pp. 45-48.
Kaplan, R.S. and Cooper, R., (1998), Cost & Effect Using Integrated Cost Systems to Drive Profitability and Performance, Boston: Harvard Business School Press.
Kaplan, R.S. and Norton, D.P., (1992), “The Balanced Scorecard – Measures that Drive Performance,” Harvard Business Review, January-February, pp. 71-79.
McKinsey, J.O., (1922), Budgeting Control, New York: Ronald Press.
Matolcsy, Z.P., Booth, P. and Wieder, B., (2005), “Economic benefits of enterprise resource planning systems: some empirical evidence” Accounting and Finance 45 (3) pp. 439-456.
,Meall, L., (2003), “Technology: Budgeting – Bye, Bye Budget,” Accountancy, September, pp. 84-86.
Quattrone, P. and Hopper, T., (2001), “What Does Organizational Change Mean? Speculations on a Taken for Granted Category,” Management Accounting Review, pp. 403-435.
Quattrone, P. and Hopper, T., (2005), “A ‘Time-Space Odyssey’: Management Control Systems in Two Multinational Organizations,” Accounting, Organizations and Society, pp. 735-764.
Scapens, R.W. and Jazayeri, M., (2003), “ERP Systems and Management Accounting Change: Opportunites or Impact? A Research Note,” European Accounting Review, No. 1, pp. 201-233.

DatAnalysis is an electronic business resource that provides detailed information on all companies listed on the Australian Stock Exchange. Included are corporate details, company history, extracts from company reports, financial tables, shareholder information, company announcements, and company reviews. urrent economic environment and thereby improving the functionality of management accounting techniques. The findings of this study suggest that the least changes appeared to be occurring with costing.
There is another important inference to be gleaned from this preliminary survey.
Prior to ERP systems, the main systems were owned by the CFO’s unit. With ERP systems, the CFO is just one of the many owners, and management accountants must start accessing information produced by these others systems, which are integrated with management accounting systems, to assist management. Some respondents referred to these changes, especially to increased non-financial information. In other words, management accounting must move beyond accounting systems.
This research has limitations. The sample is not large, and the respondents may have biased and defective memories. Admittedly, the best method for studying management accounting change is longitudinal. However, archival data for longitudinal studies are very difficult to obtain and studies themselves are time consuming. This preliminary study suggests that such longitudinal studies would be valuable.
From this preliminary research a number of suggestions for future research and teaching have been inferred along three themes. The first is for a detailed examination of exactly how computerisation and ERP systems can improve capital budgeting and management accounting. There is need for more understanding of ERP systems, and how they relate to the existing management accounting techniques and more importantly identification of the common functionalities. There is also a need to understand how ERP systems are implemented, the time required and the costs and benefits from the various modules and various management accounting techniques. The strategic importance of ERP needs to be established. Is it necessary or an alternative to other forms of computerisation? The answer to this question requires detailed, longitudinal field work. The research to date on ERP has largely been done without detailed understanding of the system processes. In the past ERP systems were considered “black boxes” that would have some impact on management accounting. The initial step in further research would be to carefully examine the functionality of ERP systems, particularly, in regard to management accounting. This should be done with colleagues in the information technology department/school, ERP vendors, and vendors offering management support systems such as Hyperion. Then there is the requirement to track the computerisation and ERP use at a group of companies longitudinally to understand how computerisation, including ERP systems, impacts management accounting and creates competitive advantage. Public information would be available, but also there would be the need to contact persons from the CFO area as well as persons in the IT area of the sampled companies.
The second theme for future research is an advocacy role for researchers, which may be a problem. However, if we consider management accounting to be an applied science like medicine, then like medical researchers we need to advocate. James McKinsey (1922) advocated budgeting, and founded the consulting company that has his name, McKinsey and Associates. Similarly, it was Cooper and Kaplan (1988) and Kaplan and Norton (1992) who, respectively, established activity-based costing and the balanced scorecard as management accounting techniques.
Third, there is an opportunity to instruct students on capital budgeting and management accounting in an ERP environment. It is likely that the simulation of a company and its ERP system would be needed to adequately prepare students for this change in environment. The pre-ERP approach to management accounting as paper andpencil or Excel calculations would need to be replaced with the ERP approach to management accounting recognising ERP as a process within a set of systems.

[NextPage]
References

Baxendale, S. J. and Jama, F. (2003), “What ERP can Offer ABC, Strategic Finance,” Issue 2, pp. 54-57.
Burns, J. and Baldvinsdottir, G. (1999), Hybrids” The Changing Roles of Accountants in Stam plc,” Working paper, University of Manchester. Cited in Scapens and Jazayeri (2003).
Burns, J., and Scapens, R.W., (2000), “Conceptualizing management Accounting Change: An Institutional Framework,” Management Accounting Research, pp.3-25.
Caglio, A., (2003), “Enterprise Resource Planning Systems and Accountants: Towards Hybridization?” European Accounting Review, pp. 123-153.
Cooper, R. and Kaplan, R.S., (1988), “Measure Costs Right: Make the Right Decisions,” Harvard Business Review, September-October, pp. 96-103.
Davenport, T.H., (1998),“Putting the Enterprise into the Enterprise System, Harvard Business Review, Jul-August, pp. 121—131.
Dechow, N., and Mouritsen, J., (2005), “Enterprise Resource Planning Systems, Management Control and the Quest for Integration,” Accounting, Organizations and Society, pp. 691-733.
Granlund, M. and Malmi, T, (2002), “Moderate Impact of ERPS on Management Accounting: A Lag or Permanent Outcome?” Management Accounting Research, pp. 299-321.
Hope, J. and Fraser, R., (2001), “Beyond Budgeting, White Paper,” CAM-I Beyond Budgeting Round Table, May.
Hope, J. and Fraser, R., (2003), “Who Needs Budgets?” Harvard Business Review, February, pp. 108-115.
Janoff, B., (2000), “High-Tech Knowledge,” Progressive Grocer, December, pp. 45-48.
Kaplan, R.S. and Cooper, R., (1998), Cost & Effect Using Integrated Cost Systems to Drive Profitability and Performance, Boston: Harvard Business School Press.
Kaplan, R.S. and Norton, D.P., (1992), “The Balanced Scorecard – Measures that Drive Performance,” Harvard Business Review, January-February, pp. 71-79.
McKinsey, J.O., (1922), Budgeting Control, New York: Ronald Press.
Matolcsy, Z.P., Booth, P. and Wieder, B., (2005), “Economic benefits of enterprise resource planning systems: some empirical evidence” Accounting and Finance 45 (3) pp. 439-456.
,Meall, L., (2003), “Technology: Budgeting – Bye, Bye Budget,” Accountancy, September, pp. 84-86.
Quattrone, P. and Hopper, T., (2001), “What Does Organizational Change Mean? Speculations on a Taken for Granted Category,” Management Accounting Review, pp. 403-435.
Quattrone, P. and Hopper, T., (2005), “A ‘Time-Space Odyssey’: Management Control Systems in Two Multinational Organizations,” Accounting, Organizations and Society, pp. 735-764.
Scapens, R.W. and Jazayeri, M., (2003), “ERP Systems and Management Accounting Change: Opportunites or Impact? A Research Note,” European Accounting Review, No. 1, pp. 201-233.

DatAnalysis is an electronic business resource that provides detailed information on all companies listed on the Australian Stock Exchange. Included are corporate details, company history, extracts from company reports, financial tables, shareholder information, company announcements, and company reviews.